Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000803 0.000917 0.001036 0.001172 0.001322 0.001481 0.001662
2025-02-09 0.000611 0.000765 0.000941 0.001152 0.001399 0.001677 0.002011
2025-02-16 0.000504 0.000674 0.000875 0.001129 0.001437 0.001795 0.002239
2025-02-23 0.000439 0.000622 0.000847 0.001142 0.001511 0.001952 0.002514
2025-03-02 0.000387 0.000578 0.000821 0.001150 0.001573 0.002091 0.002765
2025-03-09 0.000330 0.000518 0.000769 0.001118 0.001579 0.002158 0.002925
2025-03-16 0.000281 0.000466 0.000721 0.001085 0.001580 0.002213 0.003070
2025-03-23 0.000251 0.000435 0.000697 0.001083 0.001618 0.002315 0.003273
2025-03-30 0.000224 0.000408 0.000677 0.001082 0.001656 0.002417 0.003477
2025-04-06 0.000199 0.000379 0.000651 0.001072 0.001678 0.002497 0.003653
2025-04-13 0.000175 0.000349 0.000621 0.001051 0.001685 0.002554 0.003798
2025-04-20 0.000163 0.000339 0.000620 0.001074 0.001754 0.002696 0.004060
2025-04-27 0.000151 0.000327 0.000616 0.001093 0.001817 0.002834 0.004322
2025-05-04 0.000133 0.000302 0.000590 0.001075 0.001825 0.002895 0.004480
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000278 0.000562 0.001052 0.001825 0.002943 0.004618
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000268 0.000557 0.001065 0.001878 0.003067 0.004865
2025-05-25 0.000098 0.000256 0.000548 0.001072 0.001922 0.003180 0.005098
2025-06-01 0.000085 0.000234 0.000519 0.001042 0.001906 0.003203 0.005202
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000213 0.000490 0.001011 0.001887 0.003219 0.005296
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000202 0.000479 0.001009 0.001914 0.003305 0.005491
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000192 0.000468 0.001008 0.001943 0.003393 0.005692
2025-06-29 0.000053 0.000180 0.000453 0.000998 0.001955 0.003456 0.005856
2025-07-06 0.000046 0.000166 0.000434 0.000979 0.001951 0.003493 0.005982